The former secretary of state is leaving the Granite State with at least two more delegates than Sen. Bernie Sanders, even though Sanders won by a margin of 60 to 38 percent of votes.
How is this possible?
New Hampshire not only has 24 “pledged” delegates, which are awarded based on the results of the popular vote, it also has eight “superdelegates,” who are free to lend their support to the candidate of their choice irrespective of the vote.
Though Mrs. Clinton had only nine pledged delegates through the voting process, she has an additional six superdelegates as of Wednesday morning, giving her a total of 15.
Sanders has 13 delegates, all of which he won through the popular vote. Two superdelegates are uncommitted at this point. So even though the results appeared to be a massive win for Sanders, the delegate count, where it matters, tells a different story.
Radio host Rush Limbaugh commented on the absurdity of the Democratic Party process, saying, “What kind of system is that? You go in and you get skunked, you get schlonged, your get landslided out by 22 points and you leave the state with two more delegates than Bernie. Bernie’s always talking about how this system’s rigged and that system’s rigged, the economy is rigged and Wall Street’s rigged. Wait ’til he finds out that New Hampshire was rigged.”
Overall, Clinton holds a commanding lead over Sanders, with 394 delegates compared to 42 for Sanders.
Limbaugh, meanwhile, said the left-leaning media is in “full-fledged panic” over the fact that Donald Trump won the Republican side of the New Hampshire primary, collecting more than twice the votes of his nearest competitor, Ohio’s John Kasich.
The New York Daily News responded to Donald Trump’s win in New Hampshire.
The cover itself showed Trump with a white-painted face and huge red-painted lips drawn into a smile – akin to the Joker in Batman movies. And its headline, in all caps, blasted “Dawn of the Brain Dead.”
The subtitle read: “Clown comes back to life with N.H. win as mindless zombies turn out in droves.”
Limbaugh opined: “When the media starts insulting and blaming the voters as being stupid idiots, you know that full-fledged panic has set in. Because this means that they are unable to control the outcome. And that is what the media lost when they lost their monopoly, their inability now to control the outcome, to control the message, to control how people vote, to control what people think, to control what people’s opinions are. It’s all out the window, and everybody that considers themselves to be part of the establishment is facing a major, big-time rejection today.”
“On the Republican side,” Limbaugh said, “this would not be happening had there been some official, real, serious, consistent pushback to Obama.”
The global economy seems trapped in a "death spiral" that could lead to further weakness in oil prices, recession and a serious equity bear market, Citistrategists have warned.
Ivan Bliznetsov | Getty Images
Some analysts — including those at Citi — have turned bearish on the world economy this year, following an equity rout in January and weaker economic data out of China and the U.S.
"The world appears to be trapped in a circular reference death spiral," Citi strategists led by Jonathan Stubbs said in a report on Thursday.
"Stronger U.S. dollar, weaker oil/commodity prices, weaker world trade/petrodollar liquidity, weaker EM (and global growth)... and repeat. Ad infinitum, this would lead to Oilmageddon, a 'significant and synchronized' global recession and a proper modern-day equity bear market."
Stubbs said that macro strategists at Citi forecast that the dollar would weaken in 2016 and that oil prices were likely bottoming, potentially providing some light at the end of the tunnel.
"The death spiral is in nobody's interest. Rational behavior, most likely, will prevail," he said in the report.
Crude oil prices have tumbled by around 70 percent since the middle of 2014, during which time the U.S. dollar has risen by around 20 percent against a basket of currencies.
The world economy grew by 3.1 percent in 2015 and is projected to accelerate to expand by 3.4 percent in 2016 and 3.6 percent in 2017, according to the International Monetary Fund. The forecast reflects expectations of gradual improvement in countries currently in economic distress, notably Brazil, Russia and some in the Middle East.
By contrast, Citi forecasts the world economy will grow by only 2.7 percent in 2016 having cut its outlook last month.
Overall, advanced economies are mostly making a modest recovery, while many emerging market and developing economies are under strain from the rebalancing of the Chinese economy, lower commodity prices and capital outflows.
Stubbs added that policymakers would likely attempt to "regain credibility" in the coming weeks and months.
"This is fundamental to avoiding a proper/full global recession and dangerous disorder across financial markets. The stakes are high, perhaps higher than they have ever been in the post-World War II era," he said.
Just 151,000 new jobs were created in January in the U.S., in the latest sign that the world's biggest economy is slowing. Economists are concerned about an industrial or manufacturing recession in the country, following some warnings from companies in earnings seasons and recent weak manufacturing activity and durable goods orders data.
However, some analysts say markets are overegging the prospect of a global slump.
"Many markets are now pricing in a significant probability of recession and when we talk about recession, we're talking particularly about a U.S. recession. Do you think that is likely or not? To me, the odds are too high; the market is pricing too high a probability," Myles Bradshaw, the head of global aggregate fixed income at Amundi, told CNBC this week.
Donald Trump has overtaken Ted Cruz in the final days before Iowa's caucuses, with the fate of the race closely tied to the size of Monday evening's turnout, especially among evangelical voters and those attending for the first time, a Bloomberg Politics/Des Moines Register Iowa Poll shows.
The findings before the first ballots are cast in the 2016 presidential nomination race shows Trump with the support of 28 percent of likely caucus-goers, followed by 23 percent for the Texas senator and 15 percent for U.S. Senator Marco Rubio of Florida.
The billionaire real estate mogul leads Cruz among those who say they definitely plan to attend, 30 percent to 26 percent. With the less committed—those who say they'll probably attend—Trump also beats Cruz, 27 percent to 21 percent.
“Trump is leading with both the inner core of the caucus universe and the fringe—that’s what any candidate would want," said longtime Iowa pollster J. Ann Selzer, who oversaw the survey for the news organizations.
The poll's findings are based on 47 percent of those likely to attend considering themselves evangelical or born again Christians. When re-weighted as a scenario test for the higher evangelical turnout seen in 2012 entrance polls, the race is closer, with 26 percent for Trump and 25 percent for Cruz.
A Trump victory could significantly boost his chances of winning his party's nomination, while a second-place finish for Cruz would be a major setback for a candidate who has invested heavily in Iowa and enjoyed strong support from evangelical Christians who form a large part of the state’s electorate. Trump is dominating in polling in New Hampshire and South Carolina, the two states that follow Iowa in the nomination calendar.
Just two days before the first-in-the-nation caucuses, the race remains fluid, even after hundreds of campaign stops in Iowa, tens of millions of dollars of advertising and seven nationally televised debates.
More than half—55 percent—say their mind is made up, while 45 percent say they either don't have a first-choice candidate or could still be persuaded to pick someone else. In the final Iowa Poll before the 2012 Republican caucuses, 51 percent say they had their minds made up.
Trump's advantage over Cruz is a reversal of the race in the previous Bloomberg Politics/Des Moines Register Iowa Poll in early January, when he trailed 25 percent to 22 percent.
Under near constant attack from Trump since December, Cruz’s favorability rating has also dropped—by 11 points to 65 percent. Trump is viewed favorably by 50 percent, a four-point drop since the prior poll and the lowest of the top four candidates. Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson and Rubio are in the low 70s.
The crowded Republican field appears to be working against Cruz. If the race for the nomination eventually became a two-person race between Trump and Cruz, 53 percent of likely Republican caucus-goers would pick Cruz, while 35 percent would go with Trump.
"There's an appreciation for Cruz even among people who are voting in a different way," said Selzer, who is widely considered the state's top pollster. "For Trump, he might be able to win, in part because the field is as big as it is."
In fourth place is Carson, who is backed by 10 percent of likely Republican caucus-goers, followed by U.S. Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky at 5 percent. No other candidate recorded above 3 percent.
At the time of his departure from the race in September, Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker called on other candidates to also drop out, so that an establishment candidate could emerge with enough support to challenge Trump. Yet the combined support of candidates in that lane—Rubio, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, Ohio Governor John Kasich and New Jersey Governor Chris Christie—is still less than Trump or Cruz.
Support for Rubio, who has emerged as the leading establishment candidate, remained flat as the caucuses near. In fact, over the four days of the survey, his support dropped the last two days.
Supporters of Trump are the most decided among the top three candidates, with 71 percent saying their mind is made up, compared to 61 percent for Cruz and 47 percent for Rubio. Trump also leads with most demographic groups measured by the poll, including those without college degrees, moderates and Catholics.
The poll's findings suggest Trump is inspiring new interest in the Republican caucuses: 40 percent of those in the survey say they'll be attending for the first time, the highest number recorded by the survey this election cycle. The last Iowa Poll before the 2012 caucuses showed 27 percent first-time caucus-goers.
Nearly one-third of Cruz’s supporters say they’d be attending for the first time, compared to half of Trump's supporters who say they'll be going for the first time, suggesting he has a greater challenge in turning out his supporters because veteran caucus-goers tend to be more reliable.
Cruz's drop from an Iowa Poll in early December—when he led the field at 31 percent—reflects a falloff in support across multiple demographic groups, including people who define themselves primarily as evangelical conservatives, where his backing dropped 12 percentage points. His support among the youngest and oldest also dropped and he lost 14 points in the Third Congressional District that includes parts of central and southwest Iowa, including the state capitol of Des Moines.
The poll suggests there could be growing Trump fatigue as well in a state he's visited often in recent months. Almost half of those likely to attend the Republican caucuses say they've become less comfortable with the idea of him winning the nomination, while 49 percent say that of his prospects of representing the U.S. to the rest of the world and 45 percent on his possibility of winning the presidency.
Likely caucus-goers are becoming more comfortable, meanwhile, with the prospects of Cruz doing those things, with roughly half saying they've moved that direction.
On candidate traits tested, Trump won on almost every question. He beats Cruz on being most feared by U.S. enemies (50 percent to 21 percent), potential to bring about needed change (37 percent to 21 percent), being a strong leader (32 percent to 23 percent), prospects for winning a general election (35 percent to 24 percent) and keeping "your family safest" (28 percent to 24 percent).
Cruz beats Trump on having the "greatest depth of knowledge and experience" (26 percent to 17 percent), as well as being respected by leaders of friendly countries (20 percent to 16 percent).
Two dramatic moves in the final weeks of the Iowa race appeared to make little difference. A plurality—46 percent—say they didn't care that Trump skipped the debate in Des Moines this week, while Iowa Governor Terry Branstad’s plea to defeat Cruz failed to sway 77 percent of likely Republican caucus-goers.
In a test of some other lines of attack that have been used against Cruz and Trump, the poll found varying strength.
Three-quarters of likely Republican caucus-goers say they're not bothered by the fact that Cruz had dual citizenship with Canada until recently, while almost two-thirds don't care that Cruz's personality is off-putting to some, including Senate colleagues from both parties.
A slim majority of 54 percent say they're bothered that Cruz failed to fully disclose up to $1 million in loans from Wall Street banks during his 2012 Senate run. Less than half—43 percent—were bothered by Cruz's position on the Renewable Fuel Standard.
Trump’s support for the use of eminent domain to take, in exchange for compensation, private property for public or private projects, was a concern for 60 percent of those polled. Nearly as many—56 percent—are bothered that in the past he supported abortion rights and said he wouldn't ban late-term abortions.
More than six in 10 aren't bothered by questions about Trump’s familiarity with the Bible, while almost two-thirds aren't bothered that some of his business have filed for bankruptcy.
With former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg considering an independent presidential bid, the poll tested his favorability ratings among likely Republican and Democratic caucus-goers.
The findings highlight some of the hurdles facing Bloomberg should he decide to enter the race. The former mayor isn't well known in the state among the most motivated voters in both parties, with 41 percent of likely Republican caucus-goers and 57 percent of likely Democratic caucus-goers not knowing him well enough to share an opinion.
For those who do have an opinion, 50 percent of Republican caucus-goers have an unfavorable view, versus just 9 percent who hold a favorable opinion. Among those likely to attend the Democratic caucuses, that split was 26 percent unfavorable to 17 percent favorable.
Bloomberg was a three-term mayor of New York, twice as a Republican and finally as an independent, and is the founder and majority owner of Bloomberg LP, parent of Bloomberg News.
The survey, conducted Jan. 26-29 by Selzer & Co. of West Des Moines, Iowa, included 602 likely Republican caucus participants and 602 likely Democratic caucus participants. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
1.Trump IOWA REP. TRUMP V CRUZ – RUBIO DEMS. SANDERS V CLINTON
-Katrina
Pierson (National Spokesperson) 15yrs ago Ted was Canadian Citizen. (1A)
-Rush On
Trump (1B)
-TRUMP
WILL NOT DO Thursday DEBATE.
a.Fox’s role via its founder Rupert Murdoch in
pus
hing an open borders agenda. The Trump campaign is a direct threat to
Murdoch’s efforts to open America’s borders. Well-concealed from virtually all
reporting on Fox’s treatment of Trump is the fact that Murdoch is the co-chair
of what is arguably one of the most powerful immigration lobbying firms in
country, the Partnership for a New American Economy (PNAE). JULIA HAHN Breitbart.
b.Megan Kelly and Moore (1C)then Bill Oreilly begs Trump (1D)
c.Fox News
and Google have invited three YouTube personalities to ask questions at the
Jan. 28 GOP debate — including a Muslim advocate who describes Donald Trump as
a bigot and who visually portrayed him as being in agreement with national
socialist Adolf Hitler.
d.Anchor
Baby Dulce Candy, the invited Latino questioner, said she was brought
from central Mexico to
the United States while a young girl. She later joined the U.S. military
and served in Iraq.
e.Pride Goeth Before the Fall: Ailes Calls Trump’s
Wife and Daughter
f.Scarborough: ‘I’d Rather Set Myself on Fire’
Than Participate in Debate With Megyn Kelly
g.Poll: More than 83 Percent Won’t Watch Fox News
Debate Sans Donald… However it turned out to be the second highest rating for
Fox prior to the debate on Fox Business.
-Iowa –
GOP Chairman Kaufmann, who wasn’t officially endorsing Trump for president
but is appearing with him on stage and introducing him, said that if Iowans
select Trump on Feb. 1, the party is fully committed to electing him president
of the United States.
-Laura
Ingram went off on National Review for trying to excommunicate Trump A
return to traditional GOP law and order practices when it comes to illegal
immigration.
a.A return to a more traditional GOP foreign
policy that would put the national interest ahead of globalism.
b.A return to a more traditional GOP trade policy
that would analyze trade deals from the perspective of the country as a whole
and not blindly support any deal — even one negotiated by President Obama.
-Shock
Poll: Ted Cruz Plummets with White Evangelicals ; Trails Donald Trump by 17
Points
-JOHN
NOLTE Breitbart National Review Goes Full-Snob: Attacks Donald Trump Voters as
Ignorant Bigots
a.After the massive belly-flop that was the
poorly thought out, very-poorly executed and way-late “Against Trump” diatribe
last week, “National Review” is apparently still so bitter that on Monday
morning another fatal decision was made — to attack everyday Americans as
stupid homophobes.
-Glenn Beck
– Tells Iowa small crowd he’d prefer Sanders of Trump
a.CEO resigns from the Blaze as it burns down.
b.Flashback John McCain worst for the country than
Obama.
-Conservative?
a.’99 pro-choice – ’15 Pro Life with reservations
on rape and incest
b.Immigration – Trump wants a wall, shutting down
remittances garnered from illegal wages, and foreign aid cuts. He wants strong
deportation policies and an end to birthright citizenship. Said we should take
some refugees but then stopped after seeing what Europe is going through and
that this maybe a Trojan horse.
c.Same-Sex Marriage. Trump says he’s
anti-same sex marriage
d.Entitlements. Unlike virtually all
the other Republican candidates, Trump has said he wouldn’t touch entitlements.
e.Religious Freedom. Trump pledges to
uphold religious freedom
f.Campaign Finance Reform. Trump is for
it, and he routinely attacks super PACs
g.Government Involvement In The Economy.
Trump himself supported Obama’s 2009 stimulus, TARP, and the 2008 auto bailout.
He said in 2009, “I think [Obama’s] doing very well. You do need stimulus and
you do have to keep the banks alive.” He’s admitted over and over to paying
elected officials to grease the skids on his deals – although, in fairness, he
says that’s just how you have to work to get business done.
h.Education. Trump opposes Common Core
i.Healthcare. In September he
told Hannity:As far as single-payer
and all — there’s so many different things you could have. Honestly, Sean, to
do, to have great health insurance. The one thing I do tell people, we’re going
to have something great. We’re going to repeal and replace Obamacare, which is
a total disaster.
j.Tax
Plan. Trump’s tax plan is
certainly conservative. He proposes lowering the top tax bracket to 25 percent,
drops the capital gains tax to 20 percent, dumps the death tax, and drops the
corporate rate to 15 percent
k.Trade. Trump
is for international tariffs, including an extraordinarily heavy tariff on
Chinese goods
l.Guns. Trump
has become progressively more pro-Second
Amendment over time. His website states: “The Second Amendment
to our Constitution is clear. The right of the people to keep and bear Arms
shall not be infringed upon. Period.”
2.Bernie Sanders – Hillary
-Bernie Sanders Attacks 1%ers and Billionaire
a.However Sanders’ panel of experts was stacked
with economists tied to Soros. One prominent member advocates a “new economic
order” no longer dominated by the U.S., while another is the leading
proponent of the “shock therapy” economic doctrine of radical
economic transformation deployed at times to detriment in Eastern Europe.
-Vanity Fair did a puff piece on Hillary “She Can
Not Be Stopped”
-NYT throws in for Hillary
-Young kid says to Hillary we think you’re
dishonest (2A)
a.Chris Matthews talks about Bernie and the kids
calling Hill dishonest pos (2B)
-Clintons weren’t so bad??
a.Billwas
president he allowed Hillary to assume authority over health care reform she
count even get a vote in the democrat controlled congress cost $13million
b.Bill gave Hillary authority over selecting a
female attorney general. Both forced to withdraw then she chose janet reno
which bill described as “my worst mistake”
c.Bill allowed Hillary to make recommendations for
the head of the Civil Rights Commission.Lani Guanier was her selection.When a little probing led to the discovery of Ms. Guanier’s radical
views, her name had to be withdrawn from consideration
d.Bill allowed Hillary to make some more
recommendations.She chose former law
partners Web Hubbel for the Justice Department, Vince Foster for the White
House staff, and William Kennedy for the Treasury Department.Her selections went well: Hubbel went to
prison, Foster (presumably) committed suicide, and Kennedy was forced to
resign.
e.Travelgate.” Hillary wanted to award unfettered
travel contracts to Clinton friend Harry Thompson – and the White House Travel
Office refused to comply.She managed to
have them reported to the FBI and fired.This ruined their reputations, cost them their jobs, and caused a
thirty-six month investigation
f.FileGate: Hillary was allowed to recommend a
close Clinton friend, Craig Livingstone, for the position of Director of White
House security.When Livingstone was
investigated for the improper access of about 900 FBI files of Clinton enemies
and the widespread use of drugs by White House staff, suddenly Hillary and the
president denied even knowing Livingstone, and of course, denied knowledge of
drug use in the White House.
g.“bimbo eruption” and scandal defense.Some of her more notable decisions in the
debacle were: She urged her husband not to settle the Paula Jones lawsuit.After the Starr investigation they settled
with Ms. Jones. She refused to release the Whitewater documents, which led to
the appointment of Ken Starr as Special Prosecutor.After $80 million dollars of taxpayer money
was spent, Starr's investigation led to Monica Lewinsky, which led to Bill
lying about and later admitting his affairs. Hillary’s devious game plan
resulted in Bill losing his license to practice law for 'lying under oath' to a
grand jury and then his subsequent impeachment by the House of Representatives.
Hillary avoided indictment for perjury and obstruction of justice during the
Starr investigation by repeating, “I do not recall,” “I have no recollection,”
and “I don’t know” a total of 56 times while under oath.
h.Hillary was forced to return an estimated
$200,000 in White House furniture, china, and artwork that she had stolen
i.Now we are exposed to the destruction of
possibly incriminating emails while Hillary was Secretary of State and the “pay
to play” schemes of the Clinton Foundation
3.Obam3.
-(CNSNews.com) - The debt of the federal
government increased by $8,314,529,850,339.07 in President Barack Obama’s first
seven years in office, according to official data published by the U.S.
Treasury.
a.That equals $70,612.91 in net federal borrowing
for each of the 117,480,000 households that the Census Bureau estimates were in
the United States as of September.
b.During President George W. Bush’s eight years in
office, the federal debt increased by $4,899,100,310,608.44, according to the
Treasury. That equaled $44,104.65 in net federal borrowing for each of the
111,079,000 households that, according to the Census Bureau, were in the
country as of Jan. 20, 2009, the day that Bush left office and Obama assumed
it.
Bloomberg Politics editor Kathy Kiely quit over what she said were restrictions on covering Bloomberg politically.
Kathy Kiely, the Washington news director at Bloomberg Politics, said she resigned from her post after growing uncomfortable with the way her outlet responded to news that Bloomberg is considering an independent White House bid.
Kiely's resignation was first reported by the Huffington Post.
"I was not comfortable with how we were reacting to this story and I didn't see any indication that the situation was going to improve soon," Kiely told CNNMoney on Wednesday. "I think that every candidate should be covered the same way."
The New York Times reported last Saturday that Bloomberg, the billionaire mogul and former three-term mayor of NYC, has "taken concrete steps" toward a potential White House run. Bloomberg Politics aggregated the Times report that day with a brief post. Kiely submitted her letter of resignation on Sunday.
"I agonized about it because I really like the people I work with at Bloomberg," Kiely said. "We built a team and we built a website, and I admire my colleagues very much. But I've been a political journalist all my life and I felt I was not able to do the job I should be doing."
Kiely declined to say if there was a directive on how to handle Bloomberg's latest presidential trial balloon. When asked what specifically prompted the resignation, she said, "I just think the fact that we didn't jump on the story the way other organizations did. I was not comfortable with that."
Bloomberg Politics reporters and commentators have covered the story about Bloomberg's political ambitions since Kiely turned in her resignation. Mark Halperin, the managing editor of Bloomberg Politics, discussed the story Monday on both MSNBC and Bloomberg TV. On Wednesday, the site ran a story on the "bleak history of third-party presidential bids."
Ty Trippet, a spokesman for Bloomberg News, defended the company's coverage.
"We've covered the speculation every day since the Times story was published," Trippet said. "Our Editor-in-Chief John Micklethwait is in charge of decisions about coverage."
Kiely said she hopes her resignation "might help the folks who are trying to do the right thing."
"I think there are a lot of people at Bloomberg who are trying in their own way to allow a really good news organization to do the good work it's capable of," she said. "And this was my way."
CNNMoney (New York) First published January 27, 2016: 7:32 PM ET
Real-estate mogul Donald Trump has hit a new high-water mark in the CNN/ORC survey, garnering 41% support among national Republican-primary voters in a poll released Tuesday.
That was more than double the support of Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, Trump's closest rival in the GOP presidential primary. Cruz had the support of 19% of GOP voters in the survey. No other candidate hit double digits.
An ABC News/Washington Post pollpublished Tuesday found similar results, with Trump leading Cruz nationally 37% to 21%. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida came in third at 11%, but no other Republican candidate ticked up to double digits.
That poll also found, significantly, that 64% of Republican voters viewed Trump as the most likely Republican nominee. And a majority — 56% — said Trump was the most electable potential nominee.
The poll results came out less than a week before Monday's caucus in Iowa, where the first votes of the 2016 primary will be cast. Trump and Cruz have been locked in an increasingly bitter back-and-forth ahead of the caucus, in which polls have shown the race tighter than in the national surveys.
A Quinnipiac University survey of the Hawkeye State released Tuesday found Trump leading Cruz there 31% to 29%. But Trump has led in seven of the past eight Iowa surveys after briefly falling behind Cruz in the state, according toRealClearPolitics. According to the website's average of six recent polls, Trump leads Cruz by about 6 points in the state.
Trump also finds himself in exceedingly good shape in polls of New Hampshire, which on February 9 will hold the first primary. A new Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University pollreleased Monday night found Trump leading there with 33% support. Cruz was again his next-closest competitor, garnering 14% in the survey.
MANCHESTER, N.H. (WHDH) - 
Bloomberg Politics editor Kathy Kiely quit over what she said were restrictions on covering Bloomberg politically.