Showing posts with label Delegates. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Delegates. Show all posts

Sunday, April 24, 2016

PRINCE R.I.P. - TRUMP YUUG WIN - CRUZ STEALS MORE


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24Apr16 Sunday Show Notes

+ Prince Dead at 57
-          Superbowl 2007 Spectacular
-          Dave Chappel skit on Prince
-          Charlie Murphy on what Prince thought
2.       Trump  #CruzCrazy
-          Wins NY Primary 89 – Kasich 4 – Cruz 0  (844 – 543-148)
a.       60% - 25% - 14%
b.      Won 50% Hispanic vote
-          Ted Stealing Delegates on Hannity heated (2C)
-          LGBT comment on the Today Show (2A) NC Law says must use bathroom of your birth sex.
-          Change the platform RNC on abortion (2B)
-          Ted Cruz: Donald Trump Joining the ‘PC Police’ by Allowing a ‘Grown Adult Man’ and ‘Stranger’ in Restroom ‘With Little Girls’
a.       People for Cruz posting Fake delegate sheets for Trump supporters
b.      Sean Hannity has posted the official ballot for Penn.
-          California Poll – Trump shooting up and Cruz falling down +15
-          CNN “How do you Unite The Party? ” (2D)
-          Donations
a.       GLSEN 10K and Gay Men’s Crisis 10K
b.      100k to Billy Gram
c.       100k To American Cancer Society
d.      50K Red Cross
e.      65K American Heart Association
f.        50k Child Mind Institute
g.       100k Citizens United for Research in Epilepsy
h.      50k Columbia Grammar and Prep school
i.         200k Dana Farber Cancer
j.        150k Martin B Greenberg Foundation
k.       100k Jewish Museum Heritage
l.         Total $1,712,089
3.       Hillary Clinton
-          Hot Sauce on the Radio (3A)
-          America has TOO MANY GUNS I will remove them
4.       CNN Jeruslem Bus Bombing not terrorism it was a Bus Fire 21 dead.
-          Leading Jewish groups harshly denounced CNN on Monday for failing to refer to a major bus bombing in Jerusalem as a terrorist attack….
-           
-          Simon Plosker, managing editor of the media watchdog HonestReporting, told The Algemeiner, “CNN’s headline implies that the bus spontaneously combusted. The bus did not simply catch fire – it was a deliberate act and CNN fails to acknowledge this. That the headline is still online hours after terrorism has been confirmed as the cause of the blaze is absolutely appalling.”
5.       Obama
-          Obama: Britain Should Stay in the EU Because Of Iran, Climate Change, TTIP, And Because Sovereignty Is Outdated
-          Barack Obama tonight warned Britain would be at the 'back of the queue' for a trade deal with America if it quits the EU.
-          In an extraordinary intervention standing alongside David Cameron at the Foreign Office, the US President warned there was no prospect of a deal 'any time soon'.
-          Mr Obama defended his right to comment on Britain's June 23 poll despite claims from Leave campaigners that he was being 'hypocritical' and had 'double standards'. 
-          The President insisted his remarks, which have been long planned by Mr Cameron's In campaign, were not a 'threat' to Britain.
-          But the speech enraged campaigners who support Brexit, with Tory MPs immediately warning that drumming up support from foreign presidents was 'not a good look' for Mr Cameron. DailyMail
-           

Tuesday, April 19, 2016

Breitbart California Primary Projection: Trump 106, Cruz 66, Kasich 0

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Sandy Huffaker / Getty

by JOEL B. POLLAK18 Apr 2016391

If the California primary, scheduled for June 7, were held today, Republican frontrunner Donald Trump would likely win 106 delegates — 93 from congressional districts, plus 13 for winning statewide — while

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)

97%

would win 66.

Ohio governor John Kasich could win 6 delegates, all from districts currently allocated to Trump, in which case the projection would be Trump 100, Cruz 66, Kasich 6.

The new projections are slightly more favorable for Trump than Breitbart News’previous projection (94 – 72 – 6), and is based on available public polling data, demographic data and qualitative analysis.

That win would likely bring Trump close to the 1,237 delegates for a majority on the first ballot at the Republican National Convention in Cleveland in July, but not quite over the threshold, leading to a contested convention.

Analysis by the Associated Press estimatesthat Trump would need to win even more decisively in California — capturing 130 delegates — to secure the nomination. That would require winning an additional eight congressional districts relative to what Breitbart News has currently projected.

It is not impossible for Trump to do so, but he will be facing stiff competition from a well-organized, data-driven Cruz campaign.

On the Democratic side, Breitbart News projects that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton would win 189 delegates to 128 for rival 

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT)

16%

 — before “superdelegates” are taken into account. With that majority, Clinton would likely clinch the Democratic Party’s nomination.

It should be noted that Clinton’s lead in California narrowed considerably, particularly among Latino voters, during the period when Breitbart News’ analysis was undertaken. Therefore it is possible her margin of victory would be somewhat lower than projected. Likewise, Trump’s lead may be less than projected, given that Cruz enjoys a structural advantage in California, where the primary is “closed” — i.e. limited to registered Republicans.

Because the contested delegates in the Democratic primary in California are allocated on a proportional basis within each congressional district, and some districts have more delegates than others, it makes more sense for Clinton and Sanders to concentrate on districts where they are already strongest.

In contrast, because Republican delegates are awarded on a winner-takes-all basis, with three delegates in each district, candidates must venture beyond their “safe” seats to win.

The breakdown of seats in the Republican primary is currently as follows:

Safe Trump (11 districts, 33 delegates): 13, 14, 17, 18, 19, 20, 43, 50, 51, 52, 53Safe Cruz (6 districts, 18 delegates): 4, 9, 10, 16, 21, 23Leans Trump (15 districts, 45 delegates): 2, 8, 11, 26, 28, 29, 32, 34, 35, 37, 38, 40, 42, 44, 46Leans Cruz (11 districts, 33 delegates): 3, 7 22, 25, 30, 36, 39, 41, 45, 48, 49Possible Kasich (2 districts, 6 delegates): 6, 12Toss-up (8 districts, 24 delegates): 1, 5, 15, 24, 27, 31, 33, 47

The current Breitbart News projection is based on a particular characterization of the race. But it is possible to project different outcomes by varying those assumptions.

It is possible, for example, for Cruz to win the state if he wins all of the “Safe Cruz” seats (18 delegates) and “Leans Cruz” seats (33 delegates); wins all or most of the “Toss-up” seats (24 delegates); and either prevails in the statewide vote (13 delegates) or wins about half of the current “Leans Trump” seats.

Cruz’s task in the state is made easier by the fact that there are so many places where he can compete with Trump. His best targets are in the Los Angeles and Inland Empire regions, where he has been polling well.

To win a large enough majority to secure the nomination outright, Trump will have to win all of the “Safe Trump,” “Leans Trump,” and “Toss-up” seats, and win several of the “Leans Cruz” seats, while denying Kasich victories in the Bay Area.

Kasich could win two, and perhaps as many as four, districts. He would need to focus on the more liberal Bay Area, as well as in beachfront districts in L.A. and Orange County, where he might hope to slip past the frontrunners by presenting himself as an alternative. Winning at least one or two districts would strengthen his case at a contested convention. In the few districts where Kasich is strongest, he is competing directly with Trump, but he is probably a spoiler against Cruz more widely.

Initial district-by-district analysis follows (click for more):

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Big Government2016 Presidential Race,Breitbart CaliforniaCalifornia Primary,DelegatesRepublican National Convention,Democratic National Convention

Sunday, April 17, 2016

TRUMP SWEEPS NEW YORK - GOP Helps SS SINKING CRUZ - CHANGING THE $20 BILL



1.       New York Primary
-          The president of the New York Veteran Police Association (NYVPA) Lou Telano delivered an award to GOP frontrunner Donald Trump at a press conference in Staten Island, New York on Sunday morning. Feb 11-15 AP Poll: 86% of Republicans Think Donald Trump Can Win General Election
-          On morning Joe Wednesday Member of the Georgia Republican party, former Newt Gingrich backer, and RNC rules committee member Randy Evans told MSNBC's Morning Joe that Donald Trump could win the GOP nomination even if he comes short of 1,237 delegates but must get 1100.



-          Poll: Donald Trump Hits 65 Percent in New York, More than 50 Percent Ahead of Ted Cruz 12% and Kasich 1% - By Boston  Emerson College
-          On Saturday, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) Republican party convention won 14 out of the 14 Wyoming delegates who will go to the Republican National Convention in July – Cruz (23) 66.3% 644 – Trump (1) 7.2% 70 – Rubio (1) 19.5% 189 delegates
a.       The Wyoming win is another victory demonstrating how Cruz’s campaign has organized party insiders and activists to make it difficult for Trump to secure the 1,237 delegates needed to clinch the GOP nomination, ABC reported.
b.      Prebuis Know the rules (1B)
c.       ABC are you getting beat on the ground? Manafort (1A)
-          After Brussels terrorist attacks and with the European Union estimating that 3 million more migrants will arrive in Europe this year, the patience of Slovenians, traditionally known for tolerance, is wearing thin. Today, anti-Muslim protesters in Slovenia chanted "Donald Trump, Donald Trump!".
-          During the RNC speech Cruz mic went dead for 7 mins and Rush calls it dirty tricks.
-          Ted and the Dildo
a.       A Time for Truth, Sen. Ted Cruz proudly chronicles his days as a Texas solicitor general, a post he held from 2003 to 2008. Bolstering his conservative cred, the Republican presidential candidate notes that during his stint as the state's chief lawyer before the Supreme Court and federal and state appellate courts, he defended the inclusion of "under God" in the Pledge of Allegiance, the display of the Ten Commandments on the grounds of the state capitol, a congressional redistricting plan that assisted Republicans, a restrictive voter identification law, and a ban on late-term abortions. He also described cases in which he championed gun rights and defended the conviction of a Mexican citizen who raped and murdered two teenage girls in a case challenged by the World Court. Yet one case he does not mention is the time he helped defend a law criminalizing the sale of dildos
2.       Public Re Education Program
-          Treasury Secretary Jack Lew is expected to announce this week that Alexander Hamilton’s face will remain on the front of the $10 bill and a woman will replace Andrew Jackson on the face of the $20 bill, a senior government source told CNN on Saturday
-          Over 50 million students are heading off to approximately 98,500 public elementary and secondary schools for the fall 2015 term, and before the school year is out, an estimated $634 billion will be spent related to their education. By ed.gov
-          70 percent of inmates in America’s prisons cannot read above a fourth grade level, according to BeginToRead.com.
-          32 million adults in the U.S. can’t read. That’s 14 percent of the population. 21 percent of adults in the U.S. read below a 5th grade level, and 19 percent of high school graduates can’t read.
-          The current literacy rate isn’t any better than it was 10 years ago. According to the National Assessment of Adult Literacy
-          The Act of 1867 directed the Department of Education to collect and report the "condition and progress of education" in annual reports to Congress. In the first report of 1870, the Commissioner proudly reported that nearly 7 million children were enrolled in elementary schools and 80,000 were enrolled in secondary schools. Also some 9,000 college degrees had been awarded. (.15%) This contrasts with 1990, when 30 million enrolled in public elementary and secondary schools and 11 million enrolled in secondary schools. Over 1.5 million bachelors and higher degrees were awarded. (3.7%)
-          In 1979, President Carter advocated for creating a cabinet-level Department of Education.
-          Upgrading Education to cabinet level status in 1979 was opposed by many in the Republican Party, who saw the department as unconstitutional, arguing that the Constitution doesn't mention education, and deemed it an unnecessary and illegal federal bureaucratic intrusion into local affairs
-          Susan Brownell Anthony (February 20, 1820 – March 13, 1906) was an American social reformer and feminist who played a pivotal role in the women's suffrage movement. Born into a Quaker family committed to social equality, she collected anti-slavery petitions at the age of 17. In 1856, she became the New York state agent for the American Anti-Slavery Society.
3.       EARTH QUAKES OF THE CENTURY
-          7.8: At least 77 dead, hundreds injured in Ecuador earthquake
-          Japanese Authorities have confirmed 32 deaths from Saturday’s magnitude-7.3 earthquake, and nine from a magnitude-6.5 quake in the same area Thursday night.

Tuesday, April 12, 2016

The Truth About The Colorado Delegate Controversy | Donald Trump vs. Ted Cruz

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Is Donald Trump being cheated out of the Republican Presidential nomination? Without a single vote being cast by Republican voters in Colorado, Ted Cruz won 21 delegates from the state’s seven 


congressional assemblies and 13 delegates at the state convention on Saturday April 9th, 2016. While the Colorado GOP establishment changed the primary process in August 2015 – the opposition to Trump delegates has supporters of the businessman up in arms. What is the Truth About The Colorado Delegate Controversy?

Monday, April 11, 2016

Trump erupts as Cruz sweeps Colorado without votes

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www.wnd.com

Donald Trump

Republican presidential front-runner Donald.com Trump erupted on Twitter Sunday night, after a weekend which saw Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas sweep all of Colorado’s 37 delegates without any votes being cast by citizens in a traditional primary process.

“How is it possible that the people of the great State of Colorado never got to vote in the Republican Primary? Great anger – totally unfair!” wrote Trump.

He followed it up with a second tweet: “The people of Colorado had their vote taken away from them by the phony politicians. Biggest story in politics. This will not be allowed!”

It was last August when officials with the Republican Party in Colorado decided it would not let voters take part in the early nomination process.

The Denver Post reported Aug. 25: “The GOP executive committee has voted to cancel the traditional presidential preference poll after the national party changed its rules to require a state’s delegates to support the candidate that wins the caucus vote.”

“It takes Colorado completely off the map” in the primary season, Ryan Call, a former state GOP chairman, told the paper.

The ‘Stop Hillary’ campaign is on fire! Join the surging response to this theme: ‘Clinton for prosecution, not president’

In late February, just before Super Tuesday, the Post published a scathing editorial, saying the party blundered on the 2016 presidential caucus:

“GOP leaders have never provided a satisfactory reason for forgoing a presidential preference poll, although party chairman Steve House suggested on radio at one point that too many Republicans would otherwise flock to their local caucus.

“Imagine that: party officials fearing that an interesting race might propel thousands of additional citizens to participate. But of course that might dilute the influence of elites and insiders. You can see why that could upset the faint-hearted.”

One self-avowed Trump supporter took to YouTube to express his displeasure at the process, and burned his Republican registration on camera.

“Republican Party, take note. I think you’re gonna see a whole lot more of these,” he said as he ignited his registration.

“I’ve been in the Republican Party all my life, but I will never be a Republican ever again. …You’ve had it. You’re done. You’re toast. Because I quit the party. I’m voting for Trump, and to hell with the Republican Party.”

The popular Drudge Report news site splashed a headline in red stating, “Cruz celebrates voterless victory.”

The delegate selection process in Colorado is complicated.

The Cortez Journal reported: “Cruz had 17 bound delegates ahead of the Republican state convention. Another four delegates are unpledged but publicly expressed support for the candidate, who hopes to curb momentum seen by front-runner Donald Trump.

“Cruz declared victory in Colorado, pointing out that he won all 21 delegates from the state’s seven congressional assemblies. Another 13 delegates were awarded at the state convention on Saturday. An additional three delegates in Colorado’s 37-member national delegation are unpledged party leaders.”

Cruz himself noted on Saturday, “This has been a remarkable year. I will say this, it hasn’t been boring.”

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Monday, April 4, 2016

Cruz snaring Trump's Arizona delegates

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www.washingtonexaminer.com
Sen. Ted Cruz is out-hustling Donald Trump and looks set to ensure many Arizona delegates will defect to him in a convention floor fight.
The Texas senator, who ever since Iowa has played a stealthy ground game in contrast to Trump's chaotic populism, is taking steps to snatch the Republican presidential nomination from The Donald at the convention in July.
The New York businessman easily won last month's Arizona primary taking 47 percent to Cruz's 25 percent, scooping up all 58 of the state's delegates. That's nearly 5 percent of the 1,237 Trump needs for the nomination, and they're tied are to him on the first ballot.
But Cruz, exploiting deep opposition to Trump among grassroots Republicans, has been far more active in Arizona than Trump, insiders say. He's recruiting candidates for the available 55 delegate slots, that along with the other three delegate positions filled by party leaders, would be allowed to vote for him in a multi-ballot contested convention.
"Cruz, out of all the campaigns, has the most folks on the ground and has been the most organized," Michael Noble, a Republican consultant in Arizona who is neutral, told the Washington Examiner on Friday.
"Trump has no real organization in Arizona," added GOP strategist Sean Noble (no relation) in an email exchange. "Cruz will get most/all Arizona delegates on second ballot."
The Cruz campaign has been exceptionally skilled at grassroots organizing, a talent that lends itself to winning delegate elections in precincts, counties and states across the country. That was on display in North Dakota over the weekend, where Cruz topped Trump to win 18 out of 25 available slots in elections held at the state GOP convention in Fargo.
In a telephone interview, Cruz's top Arizona organizer, Constantine Querard, was cautiously optimistic about the progress his team was making in fielding delegate candidates that would be loyal to Cruz. That team includes Republican legislator David Livingston, the majority whip in the state House of Representatives.
Livingston said team Cruz is engaged in a furious round of phone calls, texts, emails and meetings as it attempts to place loyal delegates. The Phoenix-area Republican indicated that he would be thrilled with Cruz candidates winning 55 percent of the available delegate slots, but said the final results might be closer to splitting the delegation 50-50 with Trump. Flipping 29 of delegates out of 58, Livingston suggested, would be a major victory for Cruz.
"We have a better ground game than [Trump does] in Arizona," he said. "They have some good people too, but we have some really, really good people and I'm hoping that when we get to the state convention that gives us a real competitive advantage."
Querard said the Cruz campaign's Arizona strategy includes expanding the senator's reach beyond loyalists.
Cruz aims to recruit delegate candidates that support Ohio Gov. John Kasich, Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, who has since suspended his presidential campaign — basically anyone who opposes Trump. That might include Trump supporters who are having second thoughts after observing recent missteps and reviewing the latest polls that show him getting shellacked by Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton.
"We're looking for either Cruz supporters or those who recognize that, to win in November, we need Sen. Cruz," said Querard, who is based near Phoenix. "The effort is there, the organization is there, the support team is there. We're not quite to halftime yet; call me back after next Saturday."
The state GOP chairman, and the Republican National Committee man and woman lead the Arizona convention delegation. The remaining 55 delegates will be elected by grassroots Republicans from around the state in a series of local elections scheduled to occur over the next several days. Activists will formalize the slate in an election to be held on April 30 at the state GOP convention in Mesa.
Trump led Cruz in the overall delegate hunt 736 to 463 ahead of Tuesday's Wisconsin primary. Cruz is favored to win there, and could cut Trump's lead by 42 delegates. In doing so, Cruz would make it more likely that July's nominating convention would be contested, as it would become harder for Trump to win a decisive majority of delegates before the primary season concludes in early June.
Kasich trails with 143 delegates, but might yet be a factor in Cleveland.
In Arizona, Trump has the support of state Treasurer Jeff DeWit and Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio, among other well known Republicans. Trump's delegate operation is being led on the ground by Thayer Verschoor, an ex-legislator and former executive director of the state party.
Reached by phone on Friday, Verschoor referred inquiries to another Trump campaign leader in Arizona, Charles Munoz, who did not return an email requesting comment.
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