Showing posts with label revolution. Show all posts
Showing posts with label revolution. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 16, 2016

Eight years later, Bill Clinton is causing headaches for his wife again

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Former president Bill Clinton addresses an audience at Francis Marion University on Saturday in Florence, S.C. (Alex Holt for The Washington Post)

By Abby Phillip February 15 at 4:39 PM  

FLORENCE, S.C. — Halfway through a 40-minute stump speech here, Bill Clinton arrived on the topic of Bernie Sanders’s proposal for single-payer health coverage — and became annoyed.

“Every time we try to have a debate on this, they say: ‘You don’t understand. We’re creating a revolution. You’re getting in the way. You’re part of the establishment,’ ” Clinton drawled, with more than a hint of frustration in his voice. “God forbid we should have an honest discussion on it.”

Then Clinton changed course again.

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“That’s not the point I want to make to you,” he said hastily, before refocusing on his principal assignment: delivering a positive message for his wife’s candidacy rather than attacking her opponent.

In his post-White House years, Clinton has become a coveted Democratic surrogate. But when it comes to his wife’s campaigns, something else can happen: He seems to lose it. It was true in this crucial nominating state in 2008, where Hillary Clinton lost badly to Barack Obama. And it’s been true this month, when the former president has reemerged as a potent but unpredictable advocate who sometimes helps his wife’s cause — and sometimes doesn’t.

Are Bill Clinton's attacks on Sanders backfiring in New Hampshire?

 

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Former president Bill Clinton got a mixed reception while campaigning for Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire. He was criticized for attacking Bernie Sanders and calling his supporters “sexist.” (Alice Li/The Washington Post)

For a moment here in Florence over the weekend, it seemed that this crowd of more than 650 would get a glimpse of the Bill Clinton who had broken free of the reins earlier in February, in the closing days of the New Hampshire primary race. Then, Clinton accused Sanders of running a dishonest campaign — and the media of coddling him.

The outburst was widely seen as unhelpful to Hillary Clinton. Her campaign aides emphasized that the former president’s role was to positively reinforce her message, not to be an attack dog. But in an unexpectedly close nominating contest, that has proved a difficult task.

“Bill Clinton is an incomparable genius when it comes to politics — except when it comes to his wife,” said former Obama strategist David Axelrod. “It clouds his judgment.”

Axelrod said he understands why the former president behaves the way he does: because he loves his wife and because he believes she is the best candidate in the race.

“He’s proud of what she’s done, and he can’t believe that people don’t see it,” he said. “He can be super-effective for her. Where he’s not effective is where he has these histrionic episodes.”

[In Nevada, a tightening race threatens Clinton’s post-N.H. ‘firewall’]

A day after that outburst in New Hampshire, Sanders’s name scarcely escaped the former president’s lips, but he let it be known that he wished he was free to say more.

Clinton on the campaign trail

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Former secretary of state Hillary Clinton campaigns in key states in her quest to become the Democratic nominee for president.

“The hotter this election gets, the more I wish I was just a former president and just for a few months not the spouse of the next one,” Clinton said. “I have to be careful what I say.”

Sometimes, it’s the tone and apparent vitriol in Clinton’s voice that seem to hit the wrong note. Sometimes it’s his actual argument, which doesn’t always mesh with what his wife is saying on the same day, somewhere else on the campaign trail.

When Hillary Clinton launched a new broadside against Sanders last week focused on his criticism of President Obama, her pitch, targeted at Obama supporters, attempted to cast herself as more loyal to the president.

Enter Bill Clinton, at an appearance Thursday in Memphis.

The economy is “rigged,” Clinton told the crowd, appropriating one of Sanders’s favorite terms, “because you don’t have a president who’s a changemaker . . . with a Congress who will work with him.”

It sounded like he was agreeing with one of Sanders’s central arguments about income inequality — but blaming the sitting president for it. The comments launched a barrage of tweets and more than a few GOP attacks accusing the Clintons of hypocrisy.

It was a speed bump in a full-throttle week of attacks on Sanders by Hillary Clinton’s allies. And once again, the former president was on the wrong side of the headlines.

Clinton allies mounted a familiar defense, trying to tamp down the significance of what the former president had said.

“What Clinton was clearly trying to say is that the GOP has thwarted President Obama at every turn,” said longtime Clinton ally Paul Begala. “Any fair reading of President Clinton’s comments proves that.”

Even on the friendliest of turf, Bill Clinton can run into trouble. His wife’s campaign considers him an enormous asset here in South Carolina and in other Southern states with upcoming contests, where he is hugely popular among the African Americans and moderate whites who make up a vast majority of the Democratic electorate.

Yet even here, he can do damage. Days before the South Carolina primary eight years ago, Bill Clinton called Obama’s candidacy a "fairytale" His words plunged Hillary Clinton’s campaign into a racially charged tailspin, and she went on to lose the state’s primary by nearly 30 points.

The blowback from that experience is one reason the Clinton campaign this year is trying to keep him focused on a positive message.

“I don’t think it’s his job to vet her opponent. It’s the job of the media,” said Iowa-based Democratic political operative jerry Crawford, a longtime ally of both Clintons. “I think he’s at his best when he’s talking about her, when he’s talking about Hillary.”

Bill Clinton’s power on the trail is hard to dispute — but it’s also hard to measure whether he is succeeding at persuading voters to support his wife. He draws large, energetic crowds and nearly as much media attention as the candidate herself.

A glossy video compilation of Clinton’s endorsement of his wife became a campaign staple at events in the first two states. It featured what has become Clinton’s signature slow, professorial delivery of the case for his wife as the “single greatest changemaker” he has ever known.

Clinton’s popularity is driven in part by older voters who recall him as he once was: an energetic, electrifying young politician. But he has also aged dramatically. His words come more slowly and in a raspy voice. His slim stature and drawn features show the toll of age and a stringent diet.

“He does still have the magic when it comes to interacting with the audience,” said Jim Hodges, a former Democratic governor of South Carolina. But Hodges added, “Like anyone who is over the age of 60, you become less of a force of nature.”

The battle for South Carolina will be fierce among young voters, who showed in Iowa and New Hampshire that they are open to supporting Sanders.

For voters like Joshua Keith, a 28-year-old African American small-business owner in Florence, Hillary Clinton still needs to win his vote.

Asked whether Bill Clinton’s endorsement of his wife will make a difference to him, Keith, a former Obama campaign volunteer, replied, “Not really.”

“The last time he was in office, I was 12, maybe,” Keith said with a shrug. “I don’t think it impacts the younger voters.

“I don’t really think that the Clinton name has the stronghold that it did.”

Karen Tumulty contributed to this report.

Abby Phillip is a national political reporter for the Washington Post. She can be reached atabby.phillip@washpost.com. On Twitter

Thursday, February 11, 2016

It’s A Revolution: Donald Trump More Than Doubles the Competition in New Hampshire


AP Photo/David Goldman

by MATTHEW BOYLE10 Feb 2016MANCHESTER, New Hampshire4933

MANCHESTER, New Hampshire — Billionaire businessman Donald Trump, the runaway winner of the first in the nation GOP presidential primary, picked the right song to celebrate with.

When Trump, who was making his closing pitch to Granite State voters at the Verizon Wireless Arena, came on stage to a room with a crowd of more than 4,000 on Monday night—as concessions like pretzels, popcorn, and soda were sold to rally attendees as if it were a professional sports game—he took the stage while speakers blared “Revolution” from The Beatles.

When he left the stage, he played it again. And when Trump came on and left the stage while giving his victory speech on Tuesday evening after winning the primary election, the song was once again playing.

“You say you want a Revolution?” John Lennon, the iconic deceased Beatles frontman, sings at the opening the track. “Well, you know. We all want to change the world. You tell me that it’s Evolution. Well, you know We all want to change the world.”

That’s what Trump has promised throughout his campaign: a pledge to change the world and a political revolution in America. And on Tuesday in New Hampshire, voters rallied in astonishingly high numbers behind him. Not only did Trump exceed the number of voters even the most generous polls had projected he’d win by, he more than doubled his closest opponent.

According to Fox News totals, with 92 percent of New Hampshire precincts reporting around 4:30 a.m. on Wednesday, Trump has received 92,417 votes. Ohio Gov. John Kasich, his closest rival, pales in comparison with just 41,813 votes. Kasich’s total is less than half of Trump’s 35 percent of the electorate. All the networks projected Trump’s victory once the polls closed.

While it’s not final yet with regards to counts on either side, at this time Trump’s more than 50,000 vote margin of victory in a divided field over his next best competitor is even better than that of the blowout victory on the other side of the aisle, where Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) of Vermont beat former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton by just under 50,000 votes. On the Democratic side, there weren’t multiple other candidates to compete against, which makes Trump winning by that amount over not just Kasich but everyone else all the more impressive.

What’s more, right behind Kasich in third place is Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)—a firebrand conservative nobody ever thought could finish in New Hampshire ahead of not just former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush but also Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie—with 30,416 votes at 12 percent. Bush’s 11 percent and 29,186 votes has him in fourth, a little over a thousand votes ahead of Rubio—who also got 11 percent with 27,774 votes.

While the political establishment—and especially the Fox News commentariat—still are talking up the chances of Rubio emerging from this horde of divided establishment candidates, it’s Trump who really has shocked everyone: he cut deeply into establishment control over many voters. Exit polling shows he dominated party-wide, and GOP insiders told Breitbart News throughout the evening they are amazed at Trump’s ability to win in areas throughout New Hampshire where conservatives and anti-establishment candidates never before stood a chance.

If Trump repeats this success nationwide, he could become entirely unstoppable—if he isn’t already. What’s more, the insiders say, Trump did it all without a sophisticated ground game—at least not one as organized as ones from the many other candidates who spent far more money and time in New Hampshire.

Exit polling showed voters over and over again, on every single major issue ranging from radical Islam to immigration to the economy and more, trusted Trump more than anyone else to handle it. Half of GOP voters are furious with the failures not just of outgoing Democratic President Barack Obama but the Republicans who have enabled him for years.

Trump has been a master this election cycle of manipulating news cycles to his advantage. For instance, on Tuesday evening as Bush—who Trump still clearly views as more of a threat to his electoral chances than anyone else, including Rubio—came out to deliver his post-election speech here, Trump came out on stage seconds later. The move forced news networks to drop Bush’s speech and cut instead to Trump’s, squeezing Bush out of precious air time when voters in soon-to-vote states are watching most closely. The move was—as it’s hard to believe anything Trump does is an accident—brilliant.

But it’s not just the media manipulation that Trump has mastered. It’s second nature to Trump, who worked in reality television in addition to building his real estate empire and massive fortune, to capture the emotion and strike the right tone for his target audience. Trump’s deep understanding of media and show business allows him to convey an extraordinarily personal message to voters—something they’ve been dying to hear from somebody as they crave leadership from anybody—that matches the raw emotion of the electorate.

The best in television and radio, they say, have a personal relationship with their viewers and their listeners. They know them, what they like to talk about, and how they think. It’s as if the host is sitting there in the living room of the audience member during the show–and if that media personality is part of the family. Trump operates very much the same way, and people feel like they know him personally because of the way he communicates directly with them.

Trump’s policy positions are the core of his campaign. Most importantly, he’s promising to stop the madness when it comes to immigration. Voters also believe he will actually listen to them on trade, healthcare, and the economy. His core policy positions—nationalist populism, essentially—poll extraordinarily well across America.

But the other side of Trump, his celebrity, helps him permeate the American community through a media establishment determined to see him lose. His policy positions are popular not just among conservative Republicans, but also GOP-wide and even among many Democrats. All Trump has to do is make sure the voters understand where he stands on the issues. As such, Trump uses his celebrity—and his innate ability to draw attention to himself and away from others—as a tactic of sorts to emanate messages directly to Americans.

Those messages come in a variety of forms, ranging from tweets to speeches to carefully placed interviews to Instagram videos to rare advertisements to surrogate commentary. Trump’s top three surrogates are his children, Donald Trump, Jr., Ivanka Trump, and Eric Trump, but others who communicate for him include campaign manager Corey Lewandowski, newly hired policy adviser Stephen Miller, national co-chairman Sam Clovis, national spokeswoman Katrina Pierson, and more. Each serves a particular purpose, as does every message Trump transmits through these various mechanisms to voters.

In other words: there’s a method to what the media portrays as madness, and Trump is really, really good at it. The first thing to keep in mind when trying to understand Trump is that everything Trump does or is involved in has a reason behind it. That means the setup of a stage has a reason. The ordering of a speech’s content has a reason. Where he does events has a reason. Who he does interviews with has a reason. Who he attacks has a reason. Who he praises has a reason. Trump is a stagecraft genius. He understands the importance of the presentation game—show business—better than anyone else in politics.

That includes the music that plays at his rallies. So, when Trump came on stage to “Revolution” from The Beatles—and left the stage to it—on Monday night, the night before the primary election here in New Hampshire as he was making his closing pitch, there’s a reason. When Trump took the stage and left the stage at his victory speech after his landslide win in New Hampshire’s primaries—and blared “Revolution” from the speakers again—there’s a reason. All night long, the ever-influential proprietor of the Drudge Report, Matt Drudge, ran a bright red headline above the election results under Trump’s photo on one side and Sanders’ on the other: “REVOLUTION!”

The Beatles’ song certainly took on a different political meaning—the context and times were different back in the late 1960s—when Lennon wrote it and the band came out with it, bit Trump has now purposefully incorporated an entirely new meaning of it into his 2016 narrative. That meaning, or the theme Trump is angling for, is that this election is a “REVOLUTION” by Americans against the elites. He constantly talks about “the silent majority” not being silent anymore, and how his supporters are a “movement.”

Trump barrels now into South Carolina with substantial momentum, so America will soon see if Trump’s revolution continues.

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