TRUMP +21 7NEWS/UMass Lowell Poll NH Tracking Poll day 8

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This time tomorrow, some of the voting places in New Hampshire will already be open.And our final tracking poll gives us a last look at where the candidates stand right now.

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The Republicans are the big story...Because we know who's on top, but that's about all we know. The Democratic race is much easier to predict:

Bernie Sanders is now beating Hillary Clinton by 16 points- 56% to 40%, after he lost a point overnight, and she kept what she had.

Undecided is up to 4%, an increase of two points since yesterday.

Related: Sanders returns to N.H., Clinton heads to Michigan in final days of campaigning

The tracking poll shows Sanders is too far ahead of Clinton for her to catch him by Tuesday.

All she can do now is try to cut the margin her loss..

But the Republican race is more complicated, and the outcome is a mystery.

Donald Trump stays in the top spot, with 34%, after dropping two points overnight..

Related: Trump seeks to reverse fortunes in New Hampshire

Then, a tie for second--at 13%--after Marco Rubio lost a point, and there was no change in Ted Cruz's support. 

John Kasich and Jeb Bush also are now tied, at 10%. Kasich gained one point...While Bush held steady.

In the back of the GOP pack:

Chris Christie gained a point, and is now at 5%; Carly Fiorina stays at four, and Ben Carson is stuck on three.

And look at this number:  Nine percent of Republican primary voters are undecided the day before polls open.

The tracking poll gives you the picture: Donald Trump, alone on top.   Then the cluster of Rubio, Cruz, Kasich, and Bush.

All four of them are in the hunt for second and third place.

Who'll decide the Republican race?

The voters who are still undecided..

There are enough of them to make one candidate Tuesday night say "I love New Hampshire," while others will say something I can't repeat onT.V. 

(Copyright (c) 2016 Sunbeam Television. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.)

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Hiller Instinct: 7News/UMass Lowell New Hampshire tracking poll day 4

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MANCHESTER, N.H. (WHDH) -

It's not an earthquake, yet...But the political ground in New Hampshire is moving.

We're seeing more of Iowa's impact, and the war of words underway here.

Hillary Clinton is coming back; and Marco Rubio is coming up.

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Donald Trump stays in first, with 36%; Rubio takes over second place, with 15%. Ted Cruz, now in third, has 14%. Jeb Bush, 8%; and John Kasich 7%.

Other news: Trump calls for Iowa election do-over as Cruz campaigns in NH

For the rest of the Republicans: Chris Christie, 5 %, Ben Carson, 4%; Carly Fiorina 3% and undecided 8%.

Our tracking poll show its all: Trump on top, but down two points-- the first time he's dropped in our poll. 

Marco Rubio shoots into second place, with 15%, a gain of three points overnight.

Ted Cruz holds his support, but slips into third place.

Jeb Bush lost a point; no change for John Kasich.

In the Democratic race, Hillary Clinton can start thinking about a comeback, and Bernie Sanders is coming down.

Sanders still has a significant lead over Clinton-- 58% to 36%-- a 22 point margin.

But look at the direction of the tracks: Sanders is down three and Clinton is up four, our biggest single gain since we started this poll.

Related: Clinton defends progressive record against Sanders critique

You see the trends, and so will the candidates.

They're good for Rubio and Clinton... and not very good for anyone else.

Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders need to win big here, and our tracking poll shows both are losing ground right now.

This time next week, we'll know the winners.

Between now and then, this is the best way to see who's going to win.

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(Copyright (c) 2016 Sunbeam Television. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.)

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