Showing posts with label George H.W. Bush. Show all posts
Showing posts with label George H.W. Bush. Show all posts

Monday, March 28, 2016

Trump Hires Reagan, Ford Delegate Manager to Stave Off Establishment Convention Hopes

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by MATTHEW BOYLE28 Mar 2016Washington, DC117
In the hopes of staving off the GOP establishment’s efforts to block his nomination at a contested convention, GOP frontrunner Donald Trump hired a new delegate manager who has successfully led similar convention battles over the past several decades.
Trump has hired delegate manager Paul Manafort to lead his GOP convention efforts and shore up enough delegates to ensure he wins the nomination on the first ballot at the GOP presidential convention in Cleveland in July. Manafort is well known in GOP circles because in 1976, on behalf of then President Gerald Ford—who ascended to the presidency without being elected because of Richard Nixon’s Watergate-driven resignation—Manafort successfully fended off future president Ronald Reagan in a delegate battle that may end up looking a lot like 2016. Thanks to Manafort’s work for Ford that year, the incumbent president barely held on to the party’s nomination, beating back Reagan’s challenge.
But four years later, when Reagan faced a similar but less complicated delegate battle in 1980, he hired Manafort to lead his successful delegate fight at the convention that year.
Reagan, of course, would go on to win the nomination and then win the White House back for Republicans from the failing Carter.
Manafort also played a leading role in the 1988 GOP convention, which nominated then future President George H.W. Bush, and in the 1996 convention which nominated then Senate Majority Leader Bob Dole as the GOP presidential nominee. Dole would go on to lose the general election to incumbent Democratic President Bill Clinton.
“Yes,” Trump told the New York Times when asked to confirm the news he hired Manafort. “It is true.”
Trump’s hire of Manafort, the Times’ Maggie Haberman and Alex Burns wrote, “is a sign that Mr. Trump is intensifying his focus on delegate wrangling as his opponents mount a tenacious effort to deny him the 1,237 delegates he would need to secure the Republican nomination.”
Haberman and Burns wrote:
Under those circumstances, Mr. Trump’s opponents hope they can wrest that prize away from him in a contested convention.
Bringing Mr. Manafort on board may shore up Mr. Trump’s operation in an area where his opponents currently see him as vulnerable. In an alarming tactical setback for Mr. Trump, the Wall Street Journal reported last week that he may harvest fewer delegates from his primary win in Louisiana than Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), whose campaign has aggressively picked off delegates who are uncommitted or apportioned to candidates no longer in the race. Too many missteps of that kind could force Mr. Trump unnecessarily into a Cleveland floor fight.

Similar reports in recent days have cropped up in Missouri, South Dakota, South Carolina, and many other states where Trump has dominated with the public but still infuriates party insiders. The addition of Manafort to his team decreases the likelihood that Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), Ohio Gov. John Kasich, any other campaign who has since suspended, or the party itself can pull off major delegate shenanigans in Cleveland.
Trump has been aiming to pivot to the general election sooner rather than later, in large part because his only two remaining competitors—Cruz and Kasich—can’t realistically beat him without a contested convention. Cruz would have to reach nearly 90 percent of the party’s remaining outstanding delegates to get there, a virtually insurmountable feat, while it’s already mathematically impossible for Kasich to get there.
Anti-Trump forces inside the GOP have hung all their hopes on a contested convention, and Trump’s Manafort hire could stave off those efforts. A fierce battle lay ahead over the next several days heading into next Tuesday’s Wisconsin GOP primary where different polls show the candidates bunched up competing closely within the margin of error, some with Cruz in front and some with Trump in front. A Trump win in the Badger State would devastate the so-called “Never Trump” group, whereas a Trump loss to Cruz would embolden his critics.
Then two weeks later it is Trump’s home state of New York, where the real estate magnate is expected to dominate. After that, the rest of the eastern seaboard—Rhode Island, Connecticut, Delaware, Pennsylvania, and Maryland—votes before the end of April. In May, Indiana, Nebraska, West Virginia, Oregon, and Washington State hold nominating contests before the final votes are cast before the July convention on June 7 in California, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota.
Theoretically, Trump could wrap everything up before or on June 7—but it’s a tough road ahead. There are also hundreds of delegates who are entirely uncommitted walking into the convention whom Trump could get to vote for him—something Manafort is undoubtedly already working on achieving.
“The move [hiring Manafort] is freighted with political symbolism: After the 1980 election, Mr. Manafort was among the young-gun Reagan operatives who founded one of Washington’s best-known political consulting and lobbying shops,” Haberman and Burns wrote in the Times. “His principal business partners were Roger J. Stone Jr., a longtime Trump confidant who frequently advocates for the campaign on television, and Charles R. Black Jr. Mr. Kasich unveiled Mr. Black as an adviser earlier this month, in an announcement intended to convey his readiness for a contested convention – effectively making Mr. Black and Mr. Manafort, allies dating back to the 1970s, direct competitors in the 2016 race.”
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Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Ted Cruz: The Bush Years

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What his time at the FTC suggests about how he’d run the White House.
Long before Ted Cruz was a big-name senator and conservative rock star, wowing the crowd at Liberty University in the early days of his presidential bid, he was just another lawyer toiling away in virtual anonymity under George W. Bush.
While Cruz’s time in the Senate is best known for fiery speeches and high-profile gestures like his 21-hour filibuster, in his earlier time in Washington he demonstrated a wonkish eye for detail and an eagerness to take on powerful industry groups that he saw as stifling competition. Though his efforts ultimately succeeded on a much smaller scale than he’d initially envisioned, they demonstrated a relentless focus on repealing or preventing the passage of laws that he felt needlessly regulated the marketplace. If this early period of Cruz’s career is any guide, a Cruz presidency would feature a sustained push to roll back federal regulations, one where outcomes are measured carefully but where success may be less black-and-white than Cruz’s public comments since his election to the Senate might suggest.
Cruz spent a good portion of his early career working for President George W. Bush — first as a legal policy adviser to the Bush-Cheney campaign in 2000, then as part of the recount team in Florida. He was the Department of Justice coordinator for the Bush-Cheney transition team and then spent six months as Associate Deputy Attorney General at the DOJ. But his longest stretch of work for Bush was at the Federal Trade Commission, before he departed to become the Solicitor General of Texas.
From July 2001 to January 2003, Cruz was the director of the Office of Policy Planning at the FTC. There, he earned a reputation as a passionate boss intent on tracking the success of the office’s efforts in granular detail.
A memo written by Cruz and his deputy, Jerry Ellig, shortly before his departure to Texas included a chart of the office’s projects, his calculation of how successful each project had been, an estimate of the probability that decision-makers listened to the FTC, and an estimate of the probability of the same outcome without any advocacy or action from the FTC. (Cruz and Ellig concluded the FTC had influenced the outcome in eleven of the 14 projects that were not pending.)
Initially, Cruz proposed an ambitious agenda that featured efforts to roll back regulations on teacher certification, hospital accreditation, and local governments’ agreements with cable television.
“Recruiting good teachers could be made easier if the educational system adopted a more market-oriented approach, reducing the number of formal education-school requirements in order to increase the supply of teachers in critical specialties,” Cruz wrote in a July 2001 memo outlining a dozen policy areas for the FTC. He contended that eliminating those requirements would attract more teachers who had recently retired from another profession or the military, or who were interested in making a mid-life career change.
In the same July 2001 memo, Cruz also compared the primary professional organization that accredited U.S. hospitals, the Joint Commission on Accreditation of Healthcare Organizations, to a cartel:
The Joint Commission has a structure that would seem to be very worrisome in antitrust terms. The group includes virtually all horizontal competitors in the industry, and it has, in certification standards that are closely interwoven with state licensure requirements, a powerful enforcement mechanism to prevent cheating on cartel conduct.
The future senator went on to contend that the Joint Commission’s accreditation standards limited “patient choice without any apparent benefits for health or safety,” citing accreditation standards that limited some of the times and terms of family members’ visits to hospital patients.
Cruz also urged his colleagues to “look into possible anti-competitive exclusion of cable television companies.” He cited a report from the FTC’s San Francisco office of possible collusion between municipalities and cable companies. The municipalities would allegedly pass a tax or franchise fee on a cable company that was above the level permitted by federal law, which the incumbent cable company would then happily pay in exchange for local officials’ promise to reject all new entrants into the market, even if they offered better services or lower prices.
The bolder ideas in Cruz’s early memo, however, never came to fruition, as pressing cases and efforts in other policy areas ultimately took precedence. But Cruz’s work in these other policy areas did have an impact, and might prove to be useful experience in deterring what he sees as bad regulations in the future.
Cruz and the other FTC staff successfully defeated changes aimed at allowing competing physicians in Alaska and Washington to engage in collective bargaining with health plans over fees and other contract terms, arguing that the proposals would increase health-care costs and reduce access to care, without ensuring better outcomes for patients.
Cruz also weighed in on proposed New York and Virginia laws that aimed to restrict below-cost gasoline sales. Some state lawmakers contended that retailers selling gas for less than they’d paid for it represented a predatory effort by large corporations to force smaller businesses out of the market, by slashing prices so low that the smaller ones couldn’t compete.
But Cruz and the other FTC staff argued that the laws duplicated existing law and would discourage or even prevent competitive pricing. “New laws to limit price-cutting and prevent refiners from opening new gas stations are especially inappropriate at a time when many Americans are concerned about gasoline prices,” Cruz declared in August 2002. New York governor George Pataki pocket-vetoed the proposed law in February 2003.
A similar bill died in committee in Virginia.
Rolling back regulations has been a perennial promise of GOP presidential candidates for a generation. Every Republican presidential hopeful says he’ll cut red tape; very few make it a top priority once they’re in office. Cruz faces a steep climb to the nomination and the presidency. But if he can defy the odds and claim the White House, he’ll bring a level of hands-on experience with the regulatory state — and a proven zeal for cutting it down to size — that few, if any, of his predecessors could match.
— Jim Geraghty writes the Campaign Spot on NationalReview.com.
COMMENTS

Cruz embraces Bush's endorsement, says he can defeat Clinton

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WASHINGTON (AP) -- Ted Cruz embraced Jeb Bush's endorsement on Wednesday and claimed he could build a broad coalition capable of beating Hillary Clinton in the fall - if only he can climb past the surging Republican presidential front-runner, Donald Trump.

Clinton won in Arizona, maintaining a lopsided advantage over Bernie Sanders in the Democratic race despite his convincing wins in Utah and Idaho on Tuesday night. Trump and Cruz split the previous night's two GOP contests, the billionaire taking Arizona and the Texas senator winning Utah.

Bush, the former Florida governor once considered a mainstream Republican powerhouse, dropped out of the contest in February after weak showings in early primaries. "Ted is a consistent, principled conservative who has shown he can unite the party," he tweeted. Bush added on his Facebook page that Republicans "must overcome the divisiveness and vulgarity Donald Trump has brought into the political arena" or risk losing to Clinton.

But Cruz has a long climb if he's to catch Trump in the delegate count, and it's even harder with Ohio Gov. John Kasich still in the hunt.

"I think he'd be a tremendous addition to an administration," Cruz said pointedly on CNN, praising the governor's talents while suggesting Kasich should get out of his way. Mitt Romney, the 2012 nominee and a leading anti-Trump voice, helped Cruz win Utah, a factor cited by the senator in claiming his appeal is growing beyond the very conservative and religious voters who have powered his victories in some primaries and caucuses.

The latest nomination contests unfolded with Belgium reeling from deadly attacks. Contenders in both parties tried to convince voters they can best protect the U.S. from terrorists. The Islamic State group claimed responsibility for blasts in Brussels that left dozens dead and many more wounded.

"This is about not only selecting a president, but also selecting a commander in chief," Clinton said in Seattle as she condemned Trump by name and denounced his embrace of torture and hardline rhetoric aimed at Muslims. "The last thing we need is leaders who incite more fear."

Trump, in turn, branded Clinton as "incompetent Hillary" as he discussed her tenure as secretary of state. "Incompetent Hillary doesn't know what she's talking about," he told Fox News. "She doesn't have a clue."

Cruz said authorities should be empowered to "patrol and secure Muslim neighborhoods before they become radicalized," drawing a sharp rebuke from Muslim Americans and civil rights groups.

The victories for Sanders and Cruz kept the front-runners from dominating another election night, but both Clinton and Trump maintained a comfortable lead in the race for delegates who decide the presidential nominations.

In London, a senior British counter-terrorism police officer condemned Trump's assertion on the "Good Morning Britain" TV show that that British Muslims are not reporting extremists in their communities to police. Deputy Assistant Commissioner Neil Basu told BBC Radio on Wednesday that Trump's comments are wrong and could raise tensions.

"If we demonize one section of the community, that is the worst thing we can do," he said. "We are absolutely playing into the terrorists' hands of making people feel hate."

Trump's brash tone appeared to turn off some Republican voters in Utah, where Cruz claimed more than half of the caucus vote - and with it, all 40 of Utah's delegates.

Yet that wouldn't make up for Trump's haul in Arizona, where he earned the state's entire trove of 58 delegates.

The win in Arizona gave Trump a little less than half of the Republican delegates allocated so far. That's still short of the majority needed to clinch the nomination before the party's national convention this summer.

However, Trump has a path to the nomination if he continues to win states that award all or most of their delegates to the winner.

Overall, Trump has accumulated 739 delegates, Cruz has 465 and Kasich 143. It takes 1,237 delegates to win the GOP nomination.

On the Democratic side, Clinton's delegate advantage is even greater than Trump's.

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Associated Press writer Gregory Katz contributed to this story from London.

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Follow Steve Peoples on Twitter at:http://twitter.com/sppeoples

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Thursday, March 10, 2016

Jeb Bush and Nephew Neil Bush joins Cruz finance team

March 08, 2016 - 02:22 PM EST
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Republican presidential candidate Ted Cruz's campaign has brought a Bush into the fold.

Neil Bush, son of former President George H.W. Bush and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, is joining Cruz's national finance team, the campaign said Tuesday.

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Neil Bush and his wife, Maria, were among the 13 new additions to the team the campaign announced in a news release.

“We are seeing incredible momentum around our campaign,” Cruz says in the release, which notes that he has raised $1.5 million in the past seven days. 

“I am thrilled to welcome these new members to our outstanding team. This race is winnowing down between two candidates and this is further testament that conservatives are continuing to unite behind this campaign.”

Neil Bush is a Houston-area businessman and philanthropist who has never waded into electoral politics as a candidate. 

Jeb Bush ran against Cruz for the GOP nomination this year but ended his campaign last month after a poor showing in South Carolina's primary

Monday, February 15, 2016

End of the Old Order: GOP Apparatchiks Boo Insurgents as Outsiders’ Poll Numbers Soar




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by Matthew Boyle 15 Feb 2016CHARLESTON, South Carolina

CHARLESTON, South Carolina — There’s a new world order emerging during this presidential primary, but it’s not the one the Bush apparatus envisioned.

Here , on Monday evening, former U.S. President George W. Bush—the second in his family to win the presidency—will campaign with the third in his family to seek the presidency, his younger brother former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush. Jeb Bush also brought out his mother, former First Lady Barbara Bush in the final days in New Hampshire.

With the Bush clan comes, an army of entrenched political consultants—people who have made lucrative careers off the family name, working for the father then the first son and now the second son, and the whole network of operatives connected to them—and a whole generation of politicians who have risen up to the national level as part of the Bush network.
The most prominent of these, of course, at this time is Jeb Bush’s protege Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL). Rubio has come forth to challenge his mentor on the field of political battle, and the two thus far having dueled to a draw with a slight advantage to the elder. Student almost overtook teacher after Iowa’s caucuses, but mentor regained control of his part of the Republican Party in New Hampshire’s primaries and the move to bring out the big guns—the former U.S. president himself—couldn’t come at a more crucial time for Jeb Bush.
In any ordinary election year, this internecine battle between Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio—student attempting to become teacher, Padowan takes on Jedi Master—would be the story of the century. But in 2016, two and a half decades after George H.W. Bush famously repeatedly called for a “new world order” in presidential addresses—a mission his son President George W. Bush carried on in the early 21st century after eight years of Democratic President Bill Clinton split between them—the story is entirely different as voters nationwide have begun formally rejecting the establishments of both political parties.
The story this year is the American people’s complete and entire rejection—via the ballot box—of failed political dynasties. Iowa Republicans selected Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), a thorn in the side of the Washington establishment and the Bush apparatus for the entirety of his national political career. Iowa Democrats ground their race to a stalemate between Democratic socialist Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) of Vermont, and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton—Bill’s wife, and the former First Lady. New Hampshire Republicans further rejected politics as usual by selecting billionaire Donald Trump as their candidate, while Democrats there overwhelming picked Sanders.
“We have before us the opportunity to forge for ourselves and for future generations a new world order, a world where the rule of law, not the law of the jungle, governs the conduct of nations,” George H.W. Bush saidin a nationally televised presidential address on the first Gulf War on Jan. 17, 1991. “When we are successful, and we will be, we have a real chance at this new world order, an order in which a credible United Nations can use its peacekeeping role to fulfill the promise and vision of the U.N.’s founders.”
The phrase “new world order” has taken on a life of its own over the past couple decades since, as conspiracy theorists have repeatedly used it to describe some vaunted overarching mysterious Illuminati-or-Bilderberg-like global elite that controls everything like a puppet master pulls strings of a doll. While that meaning of it is far-fetched, and indeed conspiracy-theory level, there is an element of truth to the idea that the Bush family has obtained control over Republican politics over the past two decades—and similarly the Clintons over Democratic politics.
Americans, this election cycle, are repeatedly rejecting what they see as failed royal rule by a pair of high-profile political families and those closely associated with them—turning instead to outsiders they see as pure from the political corruption with which the Bushes and Clintons are so commonly associated. It’s why Iowa went to Cruz and a contested election on the Democratic side, and New Hampshire went to Trump and Sanders. It’s also why in South Carolina GOP presidential primary polling Trump and Cruz are so solidly ahead of their opponents in recent surveys. The RealClearPolitics polling average has Trump up 20 points over the field, with Cruz in a solid second place up another 3 percent over the next best candidate.
Rubio, Bush and Ohio Gov. John Kasich combined in the polling average still lose to Trump alone. Throw in Cruz and Dr. Ben Carson, another outsider, and the non-politicians reach nearly 60 full percent—landslide territory—in South Carolina.
Perhaps that’s why the RNC and other elements of the GOP establishment decidedon Saturday evening to make one last ditch effort to throw the kitchen sink and more at Trump and Cruz—a desperate ploy—by stacking the debate audience in Greenville at the Peace Center with donor class pro-amnesty establishment hacks. Incredibly, the crowd cheered as Bush and his protege Rubio repeatedly made the case to grant amnesty to illegal aliens—and booed as Trump and Cruz eloquently debunked them.
It turns out that out of the 1,600 plus tickets handed out to the debate audience, only 600 of them were distributed to the six remaining candidates to provide to their supporters. The rest were split among distribution by the RNC and the state and local parties—which basically handed them out to a bunch of donors, as the local GOP chairman admitted on local television. What’s more, rumors continue to swirl thatSen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC)—a onetime candidate himself who endorsed Bush upon dropping out—and Gov. Nikki Haley packed the audience with anti-Trump and anti-Cruz activists. It’s no secret that Graham and Haley both despise Trump—and Graham equally despises Cruz.
Sanders’ rise has establishment Democrats as panicked as establishment Republicans are at the rise of Trump and Cruz. And just like the RNC seems to have engaged in questionable tactics designed to tip the scales in favor of the establishment backed Rubio, Bush and Kasich, the Democratic National Committee (DNC) has engaged in questionable tactics designed to bolster Clinton over Sanders. Despite Sanders’ blowout victory in New Hampshire, for instance, the DNC—thanks to so-called “super delegates”—has awarded the same amount of delegates from that state to Clinton as were given to Sanders.
The Bush dynasty’s control of GOP politics in many ways comes down to what happens in South Carolina. The Greenville News’ Amanda Coyne ran a post-debate story with the headline: “Without strong showing, SC could be end of line for Bush.”
In it, Coyne writes that Bush’s decision to come right after Trump in Saturday’s debate comes amid lagging poll numbers for the man who was supposed to easily become president.
“Faced with poll numbers that have him in fourth place, Jeb Bush came out swinging against GOP presidential frontrunner Donald Trump at Saturday night’s debate in Greenville,” Coyne wrote. “Bush needed to change strategies if he is to vault to at least second place in South Carolina’s primary and get out of the Palmetto State alive, some experts say. In a packed event room at the Anderson Civic Center last week, Bush asked South Carolina to switch the trajectory of the Republican presidential race by choosing him in next Saturday’s primary.”
Never count the Bushes out until the clock stops, though. They’re ferocious, tough fighters—and they’ve proven throughout history that they are not only more than capable of winning but they have actually won the presidency three times. They’ve also led the CIA, held two governorships of major U.S. states—Florida and Texas—and built a global presence that stretches from Washington, D.C., throughout the world. The same goes for the Clintons, who have won the presidency twice, held a governorship, a U.S. Senate seat and the Secretary of State position and have similarly built a worldwide presence through the Clinton Foundation, the Clinton Global Initiative and more. In other words, these two families are the most powerful people in the world.
What happens in the days, weeks and months ahead is going to be one of two stories: The comeback of one or two of America’s most powerful political dynasties, or the death of one or both of those dynasties and the birth of a new power structure in either or both party’s politics.
That new power structure will leave several—really, most if not all—players from the old power structure, the Bush and Clinton apparatuses, behind. Most GOP political consultants fighting Trump and Cruz right now are doing so for self-preservative purposes. If either wins the GOP nomination, and the presidency afterwards, most of them will be out of jobs. As the legendary pollster Pat Caddell so astutely noted on Breitbart News Sunday in late January, Cruz and Trump are the only campaigns who haven’t hired from the pool of recycled failed political consultants. That signals to the electorate and to the political class alike that things will be different—and new leadership will take over at all levels of government—if either is elected president. The same hacks who have promised voters they’d fight President Obama’s executive amnesty or Obamacare or liberal judges or overregulation or higher taxes or giant omnibus spending bills—and then didn’t do anything to do so—won’t be in positions of power under a Cruz or Trump administration. And the political class—the lobbyists, the consultants and politicians—know that, and it’s why they’re terrified of what might happen next. Their cushy deep-into-six-figure salaries, evening cocktail circuit tours, high-class parties rubbing elbows with high-level officials, and their television appearances and self-glorification in media are all in jeopardy. So, naturally, what they are doing is using their positions of influence and power in any way they can to protect their control of things—to keep the good times rolling for the “in crowd” in Washington.
Much of the same can be said for what’s going on on the left, in the Democratic party. It would have been unfathomable just a few years ago to see someone who is proud of his self-identification with socialism even getting close to winning a presidential election. Now, though, Sanders nearly beat Clinton in Iowa and crushed her in New Hampshire. Thanks to her race card ploys, Clinton still holds a significant lead in South Carolina over Sanders—but she’s hardly done with him yet after this state votes a week after Republicans.
In Nevada, where Democrats caucus on Saturday while Republicans here vote in the South Carolina primary, Sanders is quickly gaining on Clinton. Jon Ralston of Ralston Reports, writing in the Reno Gazette Journal, detailed how this is now a razor-thin race.
“It seems like yesterday. The Hillary Clinton juggernaut arrived in Nevada last spring, making all the right moves,” Ralston wrote. “She hired Emmy Ruiz, a skilled operative who worked for Clinton and Barack Obama here in 2008 (Clinton won the popular vote but lost the delegate fight), to helm her effort. Ruiz brought a Nevada-centric team together, people who knew the state and its burgeoning Latino community, which made up 15 percent of the caucus universe eight years ago. And in May, Clinton held a memorable event, a roundtable with DREAMers, who just recently endorsed her for the nomination. Nevada was Clinton Country, mostly because of her organizational strength designed to construct a firewall should Bernie Sanders do well in New Hampshire. Indeed, Sanders apparently couldn’t place Nevada on a map – he had no offices, no staff, no footprint at all. Race? What race? Now, one week before Nevada Democrats break the tie between Iowa and New Hampshire and decide if the Sanders Surge is real, yesterday has vanished and Hillary Clinton can’t stop thinking about tomorrow.”
Both the Bush and Clinton campaigns in their respective primaries have done everything right—by the book—in terms of hiring staff, orchestrating events, conducting speeches, fundraising from big donors, and amassing heavyweight political campaigns. But that’s just not what the voters have wanted.
This is post-party politics. Voters aren’t falling into traditional Republican and Democrat lanes. It’s hard to see the entire GOP base show up to support Bush, Rubio or Kasich in a general election—and it’s hard to see the Democrat base show up for Clinton. Voters feel extraordinarily disenfranchised, and question whether a distant Washington, D.C.—which, again, is enriching itself at the expense of the rest of the nation, as evidenced by the fact the D.C. metro area is one of the only economically growing regions in America—has their best interests in mind.
Globalist trade deals, like the George H.W. Bush negotiated and Bill Clinton ratified North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) with Canada and Mexico saw many factories across the United States—including many in the textile industry here in the Carolinas—close down and reopen in Mexico. As the Clinton years dragged on into another Bush presidency, and now Obama’s presidency with the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP) front and center, the process of the hollowing out and transferring of America’s middle class and manufacturing sector—among other job fields—to foreign countries has only accelerated.
One of the most egregious examples, Carrier Corporation in Indiana, just emerged this week as cell phone video of a company executive en masse laying off more than a thousand workers in Indianapolis—and informing them the company was moving its operations to Monterrey, Mexico, as a cost-cutting measure that will leave most if not all of them unemployed—was posted online.
It’s not just trade policy where Americans feel like the Bush and Clinton dynasties have them down. Immigration is another prime example. Now 30 years after Ronald Reagan, who agreed to an amnesty for illegal aliens in 1986 only if it came with border security, the U.S. border with Mexico remains entirely insecure. Reagan’s border security pledge would have needed his vice president, George H.W. Bush, to follow through on it as the nation’s next president. He failed.
A national security and economic risk, both President Bushes, President Clinton, and Obama and his Secretary of State Clinton left the border wide open. In addition, while both political parties used to fight for lesser immigration to America because of the known impact high levels of imported foreign workers have on American workers’ job prospects—like simple supply and demand, an increase in the labor supply leads to decreased demand for labor which means lower wages and higher unemployment and joblessness among Americans—under the Bushes, Clintons and Obama, both political parties have moved away from nationalist populism when it comes to immigration. The last time now Senate Minority Leader Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV), for instance, backed reducing immigration—something he once supported strongly, but no longer does—was in 1993, just after George H.W. Bush’s only term as president and as Bill Clinton began his first term as president. That was before the establishment of both parties officially veered away from protecting American workers toward the bitter–and often meaningless–partisan bickering on Capitol Hill, back when Congress used to represent Americans not special interests.
Open borders style trade and immigration combined are a double whammy against American workers. While many jobs are being lost nationwide due to companies relocating overseas, the establishment backed immigration policy brings hundreds of thousands if not millions more workers into the U.S. economy from foreign countries to compete for what few jobs Americans still have a shot at.
Somehow, during the Clinton, Bush and Obama years, seemingly every politician except a handful including most prominently Sen. Jeff Sessions (R-AL) have lost that America-first worldview that used to be prevalent among elected officials. The Middle East, since Reagan’s administration, has tumbled into chaos—getting ever-so-worse with each successive administration since the late 1980s. George H.W. Bush, of course, as he laid out in that “new world order” speech, began much of this with the first Gulf War. Since then, things have spiraled worse and worse out of control in the Middle East where during the Bill Clinton administration Al Qaeda and other terrorist organizations formed—then they attacked the United States during the George W. Bush administration—in the wake of which the U.S. invaded Iraq again. Under Obama’s administration—which including Hillary Clinton at the helm of foreign policy—the region has devolved even further as the Islamic State has risen from the ashes of failed U.S. nation building in Iraq and elsewhere like “Hillary’s War” in Libya. That’s not to mention that while this has all been going on, Muslim migration to the United States hasn’t just not stopped: It’s increased over the past two plus decades—and increases in H-1B visas and other visas designed to import foreign workers into U.S. jobs.
Meanwhile, the size and scope of the federal government has rapidly increased over the Bush-Clinton-Bush-Obama years. The national debt is now more than $19 trillion. The government keeps spending more and more of Americans’ hard-earned tax dollars on meaningless minutia while Congress—and complicit presidents—continues passing several-thousand-page-long omnibus spending bills that only serve to exacerbate and perpetuate the problem. Now there’s imminent worry of a serious financial crash, as analysts begin to fret over the potential of a market meltdown.
The only candidate who has consistently and repeatedly hammered all of these points home is Donald Trump. It’s clearly why he’s winning so decisively in polling—skyrocketing higher and higher almost every time. Cruz, meanwhile—who’s in second place—has hit some of these topics but hasn’t been as laser-focused as Trump on the campaign trail. His somewhat of a focus on these matters, however, is clearly paying dividends for him.
Sanders, on the other side of the aisle, has hit some of these issues.
The differences between the Bushes and the Clintons—and both of their close allies, like Rubio—are minimal at best. All of them, the whole lot of career politicians who have spent their lives suckling on government while amassing as much power and money as they possibly can for themselves, represent the same thing: Continued trudging of America down the same tired pathway. No change. Nothing different. Business as usual.
But if Trump, Cruz or Sanders wins, as Trump has implied by essentially appropriating The Beatles’ classic “Revolution” into his campaign, there’s a revolution under way. And that means a new world order—newer than what George H.W. Bush pushed for as president—takes over government. And not sadly to many ordinary Americans, this newer world order can’t co-exist with the previous one.