Showing posts with label  Iowa caucus. Show all posts
Showing posts with label  Iowa caucus. Show all posts

Saturday, February 6, 2016

Democrats’ Caucus-Chaos: Party Switched Iowa Delegate from Sanders to Clinton

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by JOHN HAYWARD5 Feb 2016370

Iowa’s Des Moines Register is calling for a full audit of the Clinton vs. Sanders caucus count, and now theUK Guardian explains how the state’s Democrat Party bypassed the computer system to give at least one Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) delegate to Hillary Clinton, without even notifying the precinct chair.

In Grinnell Ward 1, the precinct where elite liberal arts college Grinnell College is located, 19 delegates were awarded to Bernie Sanders and seven were awarded to Hillary Clinton on caucus night.

However, the Iowa Democratic party decided to shift one delegate from Sanders to Clinton on the night and did not notify precinct chair J Pablo Silva that they had done so. Silva only discovered that this happened the next day, when checking the precinct results in other parts of the county.

The shift of one delegate at a county convention level would not have significantly affected the ultimate outcome of the caucus, but rather, it raises questions about the Iowa Democratic party’s management of caucus night.


Silva spoke with the Guardian and stressed that the issue was one of “confusion over party rules in an anomalous situation,” not underhanded delegate-stealing tactics.

However, it clearly was a unilateral action by the state party, and they ended up apologizing to the precinct chair for it:

The precinct, which is the largest in the state had 925 caucus-goers and the Iowa Democratic party’s formula for apportioning delegates was not capable of fully dealing with circumstances in such a large precinct, he said. This meant that when people left the course of the caucus process, the algorithm wasn’t capable of dealing with the shift in delegates.

As Silva explained it, the Iowa Democratic party’s formula for apportioning delegates left no method of dealing with one delegate in the precinct. Silva had anticipated this and sought clarification from a party staffer and laid out what seemed to be the correct method. When results were reported to the central reporting center in Des Moines, party staffers, who were able to adjust numbers reported in the much vaunted Microsoft app used by the Iowa Democratic party before they were released to the public, unilaterally made changes. And, as Silva noted: “They did it indirectly in my opinion.”

While Silva was grateful that he wasn’t called in the middle of the night about any issue, he was “kind of surprised” to see a result different than what he had reported the next day. Eventually, after lobbying both by Silva and former county chair Don Smith, they have received assurances that the delegate numbers for that precinct will be corrected. Smith explicitly told the Guardian that Iowa Democratic party executive director Ben Foecke had apologized to him over the unilateral action.


The Sanders campaign has come up a bit short of alleging foul play, but it has suggested human-error cost Sanders a razor-thin victory in the state, and has called for the raw vote totals to be released.

As of Friday afternoon, the Iowa state party gave no indication it would release the vote totals, or perform the audit demanded by the Des Moines Register.

The wheel is likely to turn on this story after the New Hampshire primary, as it will on the Republicans’ more prosaic Iowa controversy.  Complaining about Iowa results after New Hampshire is usually a net minus for candidates, no matter the nature of the complaint.  It will be interesting to see if any changes are made for the 2020 caucuses, as the GOP made improvements after a messy operation in 2012.

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Wednesday, February 3, 2016

Trump calls for 'new election' after accusing Cruz of fraud in Iowa


February 03, 2016 - 09:09 AM EST


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BY NEETZAN ZIMMERMAN6423 SharesTWEET SHARE MORE

Donald Trump is accusing Republican presidential rival Ted Cruz of committing fraud ahead of Monday night's Iowa caucuses, and he is calling for a "new election."

"Based on the fraud committed by Senator Ted Cruz during the Iowa Caucus, either a new election should take place or Cruz results nullified," Trump tweeted on Wednesday.

Earlier in the day, the real estate mogul tweeted, then quickly deleted, a claim that Cruz didn’t earn a fair victory in Iowa, saying he “illegally stole it.”

"Ted Cruz didn't win Iowa, he illegally stole it. That is why all of the polls were so wrong any [sic] why he got more votes than anticipated. Bad!" the GOP front-runner tweeted.

The post went up Wednesday morning before being removed less than a minute later.

It was subsequently replaced with a new tweet that omitted the word “illegally.”

Cruz came under fire in the days leading up to the Iowa caucuses for distributing a misleading mailer that attempted to shame recipients into turning out to vote for the Texas senator.

Following his decisive win over the GOP field, Cruz was accused by fellow presidential candidate Ben Carson of spreading a false rumor that Carson was dropping out of the race in order to sabotage the retired neurosurgeon's campaign.

Cruz later apologized.

At his first post-Iowa rally in Milford, N.H., Trump called Cruz “dirty,” adding “what he did to Ben Carson was a disgrace."

Donald Trump: Honor Placing Second In Iowa, ‘Spent Very Little – Fraction Of Cruz And Rubio’

Jim Watson/AFP/Getty Images

by ALEX SWOYER2 Feb 2016Washington, DC3,561

GOP frontrunner Donald Trump says that his experience in Iowa “was a great one” and that he was honored to place second after spending “very little there – a fraction of Cruz [and] Rubio.”

Trump posted a series on Twitter:

Trump is holding a campaign rally Tuesday night in New Hampshire with conservative author Ann Coulter.

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Tuesday, February 2, 2016

Donald Trump: Finishes Second In Iowa, ‘I’m Just Honored’

by ALEX SWOYER1 Feb 2016West Des Moines, Iowa1,602

WEST DES MOINES, Iowa — GOP frontrunner Donald Trump – who placed second in the Iowa caucus to Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)– told his supporters at his Iowa caucus party in West Des Moines, Iowa on Monday night, “We will go on to win the Republican nomination.”

“We finished second and I want to tell you something, I’m just honored,” Trump said, adding, “I want to congratulate Ted.”

“Tomorrow afternoon, we’ll be in New Hampshire,” Trump said, as he plans to move forward on the campaign trail. “It’s going to be a great week.”

“We will go on to get the Republican nomination,” Trump promised his supporters, saying he’ll then go on to beat Hillary Clinton or Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) – whoever the Democrats nominate.

“We will be back many, many times,” he promised Iowans, adding he “might come here and buy a farm.”

“I love you people. I love you people. Thank you,” Trump said as he came into the caucus party. “I have to start by saying I absolutely love the people of Iowa – unbelievable.”

Trump said that he was advised not to go to Iowa when he first announced his presidential campaign on June 16th, because he wouldn’t finish in the top ten, but he thought, “Let’s give it a shot.”

Trump also wished congratulations to the other GOP candidates including former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee “who has become a really good friend of mine.” Huckabee suspended his campaign on Monday night following the Iowa caucus results.

“We will continue to have a great team. We’re just so happy with the way everything worked out,” the real estate mogul added. “I just want to thank my family. They’ve been so amazing and so supporting.”

He said they’ll move on to New Hampshire and South Carolina and be “proclaiming victory, I hope.”

 

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Donald Trump: Finishes Second In Iowa, ‘I’m Just Honored’

by ALEX SWOYER1 Feb 2016West Des Moines, Iowa1,375

WEST DES MOINES, Iowa — GOP frontrunner Donald Trump – who placed second in the Iowa caucus to Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)– told his supporters at his Iowa caucus party in West Des Moines, Iowa on Monday night, “We will go on to win the Republican nomination.”

“We finished second and I want to tell you something, I’m just honored,” Trump said, adding, “I want to congratulate Ted.”

“Tomorrow afternoon, we’ll be in New Hampshire,” Trump said, as he plans to move forward on the campaign trail. “It’s going to be a great week.”

“We will go on to get the Republican nomination,” Trump promised his supporters, saying he’ll then go on to beat Hillary Clinton or Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) – whoever the Democrats nominate.

“We will be back many, many times,” he promised Iowans, adding he “might come here and buy a farm.”

“I love you people. I love you people. Thank you,” Trump said as he came into the caucus party. “I have to start by saying I absolutely love the people of Iowa – unbelievable.”

Trump said that he was advised not to go to Iowa when he first announced his presidential campaign on June 16th, because he wouldn’t finish in the top ten, but he thought, “Let’s give it a shot.”

Trump also wished congratulations to the other GOP candidates including former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee “who has become a really good friend of mine.” Huckabee suspended his campaign on Monday night following the Iowa caucus results.

“We will continue to have a great team. We’re just so happy with the way everything worked out,” the real estate mogul added. “I just want to thank my family. They’ve been so amazing and so supporting.”

He said they’ll move on to New Hampshire and South Carolina and be “proclaiming victory, I hope.”

 

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Monday, January 25, 2016

Fox News Poll: Donald Trump Takes Back Iowa with 11-Point Surge

AP Photo/Mary Altaffer

by MIKE FLYNN24 Jan 20164361

new Fox News poll of Iowa shows Donald Trump surging to a strong 11-point lead in the caucuses taking place next week. With just one week until the first votes of the 2016 primary are cast, Trump leads second-place Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) 34-23 percent.

The last two Fox News polls of Iowa, conducted in early January and early December, has Ted Cruz with a slim lead over the GOP frontrunner. In the last two weeks, according to the poll, Trump has gained 11 points and Cruz has lost 4 points.

Florida Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) remains in a distant third place with 12 percent, but he has lost 3 points since early January. No other candidate has support in the double digits.

The Fox poll has a fairly large 5-point margin of error, higher than its last two polls, but the underlying trend towards Trump is unmistakable. One major factor helping Trump is that Republican voters in general are warming to his candidacy.

In early January, almost one-third of Republicans, 31 percent, said they could not support Trump if he became the nominee. Today, that number is down to 20 percent.

This week, Iowa Sen. Chuck Grassleyappeared at a campaign rally for Donald Trump. He made it clear he wasn’t endorsing Trump and is, in fact, scheduled to appear with Sen. Marco Rubio this weekend, but his appearance is an explicit un-endorsement of Ted Cruz. Grassley has recently criticized his colleague Cruz for his opposition to ethanol and wind power subsidies.

Also this week, Iowa Governor Terry Branstad publicly stated that he hoped Cruz would lose the Iowa caucus, also because of his opposition to ethanol and wind power. As the nation’s top corn producer, the state has a vested interest in maintaining the federal mandate to include ethanol-blended gasoline in motor fuel. The state has also become a leading provider of federally subsidized wind power.

In addition, Sarah Palin endorsed Donald Trump in Iowa early in the week. Her endorsement came just as the Fox poll was starting interviews in the Hawkeye State. The Palin endorsement boosted Trump considerably among voters who identify as “very conservative” and “tea party.”

Among both voters, Cruz had been leading Trump in the last Fox poll. Trump now leads among “tea party voters” and is essentially tied with Cruz among “very conservative” voters. Cruz had held a slim lead among more mainstream “Republican” voters, a group Trump now leads by 9 points.

Trump, it seems, is benefiting from a political perfect storm just before Iowa casts its votes. Palin’s embrace of Trump and the state’s Republican establishment’s united opposition to Cruz has pushed Trump into a strong lead.

This unique combination, if it holds, could allow Trump to run the tables in states voting through the Spring and lock-in the nomination sooner than most would have expected.

That said, a week is a lifetime in politics, and a tea party-establishment coalition likely is tenuous. There is also a final GOP debate on Thursday, just 4 days before the caucus. Still, Iowa seems to be moving towards Trump.

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Big Government2016 Presidential Race,Donald TrumpTed CruzChuck Grassley,Republican PartySarah PalinTerry BranstadIowa caucus